The government (and OMCs) though has, as yet, refrained from biting the bullet on the price of diesel, testing the waters as it were with petrol. However, expect a price hike announcement on diesel and LPG on May 25.
In a statement issued by Indian Oil Corporation, the OMC says that since the last petrol price rise on December 1, 2011, international oil prices have increased and the USD-INR exchange rate has shown further deterioration from Rs 51.50/$ to Rs 56.18/S. While the Indian basket of crude has increased by 3.5 percent from $109.23/bbl to $113.08/bbl, international MS (motor spirit) price has gone up by 14.5 percent from $108.62/bbl to $124.42/bbl. The combined effect of changes in international MS prices and the exchange rate has resulted in an increase in under-recovery since the last price change. However, due to declining international MS prices during the current fiscal, under-recovery has shown a downward trend from Rs 8.04/litre in the second fortnight of April 2012 to Rs 7.17/litre during the first fortnight of May 2012, and further to Rs 6.28/litre during the current fortnight.
Given the losses being incurred, Indian Oil says it was compelled to increase petrol price by Rs 6.28 per litre (excluding VAT / sales tax). This excludes losses already suffered till date during the current fiscal (2012-13), which would require an additional increase of around Rs 1.50/ litre in the selling price of MS for the balance part of the year.